Showing posts with label CHARLIE MUNGER. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CHARLIE MUNGER. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 17, 2015

Charlie Munger on projections

From his speech “Academic Economics: Strengths and Faults After Considering Interdisciplinary Needs” (available HERE, HERE, or in Poor Charlie's Almanack):
Usually, I don’t use formal projections. I don’t let people do them for me because I don’t like throwing up on the desk (laughter), but I see them made in a very foolish way all the time, and many people believe in them, no matter how foolish they are. It’s an effective sales technique in America to put a foolish projection on a desk. 
And if you’re an investment banker, it’s an art form. I don’t read their projections either. Once Warren and I bought a company and the seller had a big study done by an investment banker, it was about this thick. We just turned it over as if it were a diseased carcass. He said, “We paid $2 million for that.” I said, “We don’t use them. Never look at them.”

Source:  http://www.valueinvestingworld.com/2015/03/charlie-munger-on-projections.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+ValueInvestingWorld+%28Value+Investing+World%29